The impact of the development of the copper industry chain on related industries this year

China has adjusted its GDP growth target to 7.5% this year. The slowdown in copper demand growth this year is basically a certain event. From the analysis of the copper terminal industry, grid investment will still be a bright spot; the growth rate of production and sales of automobiles and home appliances will slow down due to the sluggish export; the sales volume of the property market has not improved, and Xiaoyangchun is hard to hope. Affected by this, when will the peak season of copper downstream consumption come?

Li Yuhuang: NPC deputy, chairman of Jiangxi Copper Group Co., Ltd.

â—† China's copper demand increased by about 7% this year. However, due to the uncertainties in the global economy, it is believed that the overall copper price will continue to fluctuate.
â—† The main energy-saving and environmental protection indicators have reached the international advanced level. Copper is one of the pillar industries of the country's economic development, but China's copper resources are relatively scarce, and its dependence on foreign countries is as high as 70%. By the end of the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan", Jiangtong's annual operating income will reach more than 180 billion yuan, forming an annual capacity of 1.5 million tons of cathode copper. The main energy-saving and environmental protection indicators have reached the international advanced level.
â—† The Afghan copper project invested by Jiangxi Copper Industry was put into operation in 2013-14, with an initial annual output of 190,000 tons/year of metal. This is delayed compared to the original statement of its partners. Jiangxi Copper's refined copper production target is 900,000 tons.
â—† M&A problem: It has already contacted enterprises in coastal areas such as Yantai, Shandong Province, to discuss mergers and acquisitions, but it has not yet been finalized. He also pointed out that in addition to maintaining its advantages in copper production, the company will further strengthen its business in lead, zinc and rare earth. He also said that his overseas investment favors a more stable political situation.
â—† The fundamentals of the former copper market are good, which will support the copper price. The short-term copper price is strong. In the first half of this year, the copper price is relatively good, but there are some concerns in the second half.

Wei Jianghong: Representative of the National People's Congress and Chairman of Tongling Nonferrous Metals

â—† Copper demand has increased by about 6% this year, the lowest growth rate since 2008.

Yang Zhiqiang: NPC deputy, chairman of Jinchuan Group

â—† The company's copper output this year will reach 600,000 tons.
â—† For the company's listing work, it indicates that the specific timetable is not available. The overall listing work of the group has been researched and prepared, but when and how to do it, it is necessary to work under the unified command and guidance of the Gansu provincial government.

Zhou Zhongshu: CPPCC member, president of Minmetals Group

â—† The average price of non-ferrous metals will fall by about 20%, and the overseas non-ferrous metal mining investment will be expanded in the future. Chinese companies are currently investing in overseas mining opportunities. The Group will continue to investigate metal investment projects such as copper, aluminum, lead, zinc and nickel in the future. This year, non-ferrous metals performed better than ferrous metals, but less than last year, the average price of non-ferrous metals fell by about 20%.
â—† Encourage mergers and acquisitions of commodity circulation enterprises across regions and sectors.
â—† Advance the reform of non-ferrous smelting technology and deepen pollution control. 1. The state gives large-scale subsidies to key non-ferrous smelting enterprises, supports enterprises to increase investment in technological transformation, optimizes and upgrades smelting processes, and reduces pollution emissions. Second, the state allocates special funds to support key non-ferrous smelting enterprises to increase investment in science and technology. In terms of introduction, enterprises will reduce environmental pressure through industrial restructuring; Third, the state will provide financial subsidies to key non-ferrous smelting enterprises, local governments will provide support in land replacement, personnel resettlement and related policies, and enterprises that hold conditions will be partially relocated and primary The smelting process will be transferred to areas with large environmental capacity for upgrading.

Meng Xianlai: Member of the CPPCC National Committee and former Director of the China Geological Survey of the Ministry of Land and Resources

â—† While carrying out resource tax reform, we should further reform and improve the mineral resources compensation fee system and increase the rate of compensation for mineral resources compensation fees.
â—† With the deepening of economic development and reform, it is inevitable to reform and improve the mineral resources compensation fee system that has been implemented for many years. However, considering the mineral resources compensation fee as a general administrative fee, it is proposed to combine the two, and only retain the resource tax, which weakens the property rights of the state mineral resources. Each has its own different purpose of collection and adjustment, and cannot be replaced by each other.
◆ The appendix of the “Regulations on the Collection of Compensation for Mineral Resources Compensation” clearly stipulates the rate of collection of specific minerals, with a maximum of 4% and a minimum of 0.5%, with an average of 1.18%. With the diversified development of mineral resources exploration and development investment and the reform of the mineral resources management system, local governments are undertaking more and more arduous tasks. It is suggested that the current proportion of mineral resources compensation fees will be tilted to the local level and tilted to the location of mineral resources. Clearly extract a certain proportion for strengthening the ecological environment restoration and control of the mining area and the construction of a harmonious mining area; tilting to the place where the mineral resources are enriched but not yet promising, so that these places have the financial resources to achieve leapfrog development.

Cable industry:

The cable industry is China's second largest industry after the automotive industry, which plays a pivotal role in economic development. However, the problem of the quality of the cable industry is more serious. Some of the market's wire qualification rate is less than 40%, and the market competition is becoming increasingly fierce, and industry worries are getting deeper and deeper.
Liu Hanyuan: Standing Committee of the CPPCC and Chairman of the Board of Directors of Tongwei Group

â—† Domestic PV installed capacity needs to be further expanded.
After the introduction of relevant policies, China's photovoltaic market has achieved certain achievements, and has obvious competitive advantages in the world market, but the overall overall lag, the total installed capacity is still less than 5% of the world. By further expanding the installed capacity of photovoltaics and accelerating the construction of photovoltaic power generation bases in the west, China can gradually form a peaceful and sustainable supply base for sustainable development, thereby basically solving future energy consumption problems.
Domestic PV installed capacity should be dynamically increased and expanded according to the energy shortage situation of China's economic development and the international security situation. It should not be subject to the established planning goal of 15GW. It should fully tap the potential of the industry to release the enthusiasm of enterprises, and strive to form 30GW by 2015. 40GW, 50GW or even higher PV installed capacity.

Xiang Zongxi: Member of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference and Chairman of the Political Consultative Conference of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region â—† What I am most concerned about is a major construction project of strategic significance for the long-term development of Ningxia.
â—† It is recommended to build Ningdong-Zhejiang UHV transmission line

Power grid industry:

This year, representatives and members of 20 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the Central Government) submitted proposals and proposals related to UHV. These proposals and proposals clarify the necessity and urgency of building UHV power grids from different angles. Many proposals and proposals have mentioned the power supply situation that is still very serious this year. It is believed that accelerating the construction of UHV will fundamentally alleviate this situation, solve the problem of coal and electricity transportation, and change the mode of power development based on local balance.

Sun Jiye: Member of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference and Deputy Director of the Shandong Provincial Supervision Department

â—† Accelerate the construction of UHV power grid and push "external power into Lu"
â—† Sun Jiye members suggested that the National Development and Reform Commission and relevant departments should approve the Ximeng-Jinan-Nanjing 1000 kV UHV AC-DC power transmission and transformation project as soon as possible to ensure that it will start construction in early 2012 and be completed and put into operation by 2013; as soon as possible, approve and agree to carry out Shaanxi-Jinan- The preliminary work of Weifang 1000 kV UHV AC-DC power transmission and transformation project; start the preliminary work of Shaanxi Binchang to Shandong Linyi, Humeng to Shandong Qingzhou AC and DC transmission project as soon as possible, and strive to be completed and put into operation by 2015.

Xue Yusheng: National People's Congress, Academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering

◆Incorporate smart grid construction into national energy strategy planning ◆With the development of society and economy, the proportion of electric energy in terminal energy will at least double. “This means that even if the total amount of terminal energy consumption does not increase, the load center will be used. The power still has to be doubled."
◆ First, the development of UHV power grid will be included in the “12th Five-Year Plan”, power planning and special grid planning for national energy development, and support for UHV projects will be increased. The second is to uniformly deploy the planning and construction of smart grids at the national level, integrate the smart grid into the national energy strategy and energy development “12th Five-Year Plan”, and formulate support policies and other policies on fiscal, tax, electricity, investment and financing to promote the development of smart grids. Supporting policies. The third is to promote the international exchange and cooperation between UHV and smart grid, build an international cooperation platform, realize the output of technology and equipment, promote the internationalization of UHV and smart grid standards, make overall use of domestic and international energy resources, and accelerate the construction of China's energy security and environmental safety. Security System.

Li Xiaolin: Member of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political

â—† Accelerate the construction of UHV power grid
◆ In the proposal of “Promoting Sustainable Development of New Energy”, Commissioner Li Xiaolin proposed to promote the sustainable development of new energy from five aspects. First, to play the leading role of the state; second, to build a smart grid, improve the intelligent regulation of new energy generation; third, strictly implement relevant rules to ensure access to new energy; fourth, vigorously promote distributed new energy generation and microgrid energy management system; It is to continuously innovate and master the core technologies of new energy, and to strengthen and support the cultivation of “leading enterprises” to realize the scientific and sustainable development of new energy.

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