After a series of postponements, early morning on March 21, Beijing time, the U.S. government formally made a countervailing preliminary ruling on solar PV products imported from China. The maximum rate was 4.73%, and the lowest was 2.90%. In addition, the US Department of Commerce will announce anti-dumping rates in mid-May. Although the "anti-subsidy" and "anti-dumping" preliminary rulings are not a final word, the final tariffs need to be determined by the investigation of the US International Trade Commission (ITC), but the Chinese PV industry community still has concerns that the anti-dumping tax will be much higher than the countervailing duty. . If the countervailing duty plus anti-dumping tax superposition tax rate is between 20% and 30%, it will bring a heavy blow to domestic PV companies, and domestic companies will basically lose the US market. Not only that, the industry is also worried that the U.S. government's actions will bring about adverse chain reactions, such as the EU's emulation.
Undoubtedly, the trade protection behavior of the United States is bound to "take a rock and hit one's own feet." At present, China and the United States can be said to be on the "one boat" in the solar photovoltaic industry. They have mutual needs and can fully benefit from each other, and win-win and double-win can be achieved.
On the one hand, the U.S. market needs China's inexpensive and high-quality component products to enhance the development momentum of the solar photovoltaic industry. Once it implements a “double reaction†to China, it will lead to a negative chain reaction. This has been the consensus of large-scale companies in the US photovoltaic industry. Senior officials of the US GTAT Group once told the author that it is the high-quality, low-cost components of China that have driven the growth of the US photovoltaic market, allowing American families to enjoy more and better clean energy, and any cost-increasing behaviors such as ITC tariffs. Both the United States and the world’s photovoltaic industry are harmful. These tariffs will increase the cost of photovoltaic consumers, hinder the growth of the US job market, and slow investment in new energy and technological development. "Solar energy is shortening the gap with traditional energy, but this process will be damaged by trade protectionism and rising prices."
On the other hand, China has become a major importer of polysilicon in the United States. The US's export volume of polysilicon to China increased from 5,371 tons in 2008 to 17,476 tons in 2011, an increase of 225%; the export volume increased from 750 million US dollars in 2008 to 1.04 billion US dollars in 2011. In addition, the United States also exports photovoltaic equipment to China. Once overseas markets have shrunk dramatically, Chinese companies are bound to cut production, which will have a huge negative impact on the US polysilicon industry and photovoltaic equipment industry.
Regrettably, the United States' "double reverse" case will still fall. So, for China's photovoltaic industry, the most important thing is how to "countermeasures against customers." The author believes that only by accelerating the expansion of the domestic demand market can we become passive and take control of our own destiny. Fortunately, with the introduction of a series of policies, China's photovoltaic domestic demand market is gradually opening up. At the end of the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period, China's PV installed capacity target rose to 10GW. Recently, the “Twelfth Five-year Development Plan for Solar Photovoltaic Industry†released by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology pointed out that the photovoltaic power generation market should be expanded, and diversified markets should be actively cultivated, and the cost reduction target should be proposed: By 2015, the cost of photovoltaic modules should be reduced to 7000 yuan/kilowatt, the cost of photovoltaic system should be reduced to 13,000 yuan/kilowatt, and the cost of power generation should be reduced to 0.8 yuan/kwh. Once the cost of power generation is reduced, the domestic photovoltaic market will be further activated and companies will also grow. "Plan" also pointed out that by 2015 will form a 50,000-ton-grade polysilicon enterprises, 2 to 3 million-ton-grade polysilicon enterprises; 1 to 2 5GW-level solar battery companies, 7-9 GW-level solar battery companies; A photovoltaic company with annual sales revenue of over 100 billion yuan, 3 to 5 photovoltaic companies with annual sales revenue of over 50 billion yuan, and 3 to 4 photovoltaic-specific equipment companies with annual sales revenue exceeding 1 billion yuan.
As the competitiveness of enterprises increases, it is believed that in the near future, the Chinese photovoltaic industry will not be so passive in the face of the US government.
Undoubtedly, the trade protection behavior of the United States is bound to "take a rock and hit one's own feet." At present, China and the United States can be said to be on the "one boat" in the solar photovoltaic industry. They have mutual needs and can fully benefit from each other, and win-win and double-win can be achieved.
On the one hand, the U.S. market needs China's inexpensive and high-quality component products to enhance the development momentum of the solar photovoltaic industry. Once it implements a “double reaction†to China, it will lead to a negative chain reaction. This has been the consensus of large-scale companies in the US photovoltaic industry. Senior officials of the US GTAT Group once told the author that it is the high-quality, low-cost components of China that have driven the growth of the US photovoltaic market, allowing American families to enjoy more and better clean energy, and any cost-increasing behaviors such as ITC tariffs. Both the United States and the world’s photovoltaic industry are harmful. These tariffs will increase the cost of photovoltaic consumers, hinder the growth of the US job market, and slow investment in new energy and technological development. "Solar energy is shortening the gap with traditional energy, but this process will be damaged by trade protectionism and rising prices."
On the other hand, China has become a major importer of polysilicon in the United States. The US's export volume of polysilicon to China increased from 5,371 tons in 2008 to 17,476 tons in 2011, an increase of 225%; the export volume increased from 750 million US dollars in 2008 to 1.04 billion US dollars in 2011. In addition, the United States also exports photovoltaic equipment to China. Once overseas markets have shrunk dramatically, Chinese companies are bound to cut production, which will have a huge negative impact on the US polysilicon industry and photovoltaic equipment industry.
Regrettably, the United States' "double reverse" case will still fall. So, for China's photovoltaic industry, the most important thing is how to "countermeasures against customers." The author believes that only by accelerating the expansion of the domestic demand market can we become passive and take control of our own destiny. Fortunately, with the introduction of a series of policies, China's photovoltaic domestic demand market is gradually opening up. At the end of the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period, China's PV installed capacity target rose to 10GW. Recently, the “Twelfth Five-year Development Plan for Solar Photovoltaic Industry†released by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology pointed out that the photovoltaic power generation market should be expanded, and diversified markets should be actively cultivated, and the cost reduction target should be proposed: By 2015, the cost of photovoltaic modules should be reduced to 7000 yuan/kilowatt, the cost of photovoltaic system should be reduced to 13,000 yuan/kilowatt, and the cost of power generation should be reduced to 0.8 yuan/kwh. Once the cost of power generation is reduced, the domestic photovoltaic market will be further activated and companies will also grow. "Plan" also pointed out that by 2015 will form a 50,000-ton-grade polysilicon enterprises, 2 to 3 million-ton-grade polysilicon enterprises; 1 to 2 5GW-level solar battery companies, 7-9 GW-level solar battery companies; A photovoltaic company with annual sales revenue of over 100 billion yuan, 3 to 5 photovoltaic companies with annual sales revenue of over 50 billion yuan, and 3 to 4 photovoltaic-specific equipment companies with annual sales revenue exceeding 1 billion yuan.
As the competitiveness of enterprises increases, it is believed that in the near future, the Chinese photovoltaic industry will not be so passive in the face of the US government.
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